Month: May 2022

EU sanctions, more in the pipeline?

Oil has pushed higher with an EU partial ban on Russian oil. NAB’s Taylor Nugent says inflation concerns are again front and centre, with bond’s sold off and equities taking a hit.

Is the Phillips Curve dead?

Bankers are starting to question the validity of the Phillips Curve. Today @profstevekeen explains how they’re using it wrongly, and it’s never been more relevant.

German inflation concerns, but equity markets refuse to freak out

Equity markets are still rising despite a far higher inflation numbers from Germany. NAB’s David de Garis says food and oil are driving much of the increase and perhaps there’s an expectation that they are close to topping out.

A piggy bank backed recovery

Markets have adopted a glass half full approach, says NABs Ray Attrill, as fears of a recession take a back seat. One factor could be people dipping into the considerable savings amassed during the pandemic.

Equities and bonds markets divided

Equity markets rose again in the US on strong earnings, but as NAB’s Gavin Friend points out in today’s podcast, bond markets have not responded, focused instead on what the Fed is doing and what impact that will have on the economy

Markets accept rate hikes if they tame inflation

The risk is the Fed will need to move way above neutral says NAB’s Rodrigo Catril on today’s Morning Call. It’s certainly the approach the RBNZ is taking. Just how much will it take?

Markets Snap Out of It

Snaps! Profit warning has been seen as an ominous sign for the tech sector, says NAB’s Tapas Strickland, on a day where the news was generally less than positive. Could central banks move more cautiously from here?

Hope springs eternal, well, for today anyway

Markets have jumped away from bear territory as Joe Biden talks about easing tariffs with China. Hardly enough for such a significant turnaround surely? Will the optimism last?

Can we beat stagflation?

Are we on the verge of stagflation?ProfSteveKeen says, yes we are, but this time it’s different and less easy to fix. Certainly it can’t be solved by central banks.

New Australian government, same global concerns

The bias for bond yields is to head lower, says NAB’s Skye Masters as investors eye hawkish centrals and recession fears. As to the impact of the election, we have some words on that too.

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