Waiting on Evergrande, the Fed and oil inventories
Markets await the latest chapter in the Evergrande story, but NAB’s David de Garis says China’s controlled economy means it won’t be another Lehman Brothers moment.
AUDIO
Podcasts and other audio content from Phil Dobbie
Evergrande Contagion Fears
A torrid day, says NAB’s Ray Attrill, as markets run for cover over fears over Contagion’s default. Her talks through the reactions and implications for the Australian market.
Just another cautious Monday
Markets are treading water ahead of the FOMC says NAB’s Tapas Strickland. The fate of Evergrande in China is also playing on sentiment.
Has QE become MMT by another name?
Central banks have amassed trillions in government bonds. Do they seriously expect to reduce that to xero? If not, I ask Steve keen, haven’t they embarked on MMT by another name?
Lots of movement, not much direction
US equities fell and the dollar strengthened despite strong retail sales from the US. NAB’s Gavin Friend says the markets weren’t quite sure how to take it or why the numbers were so strong.
High hopes or buying the dip?
Buying the dip? There wasn’t any strong news to explain the rise in US equities. NAB’s Tapas Strickland says that, and softer news from Asia, suggests that is the case this morning.
Has US inflation peaked?
Lower inflation in the US gives the Fed more time, but NAB’s Rodrigo Catril says some of the market moves overnight are based on growing COVID outbreaks in China.
Oil Higher and RBA’s Lowe-down
Transitory impacts from supply chain disruption could last longer, which means the Fed can wait out higher (supply-driven) inflation for longer, says NAB’s Tapas Strickland ahead of tonight’s US CPI numbers. Also, oil higher, and what will Philip Lowe say at lunchtime today.
Three reasons to be cautious
Complicated questions over China add to global inflation and growth concerns. There are so many influencing factors that data reads are very noisy right now says NAB’s Rodrigo Catril.
ECB, calibrating not tapering
As expected, the ECB cuts it pace of bond buying. NAB’s Gavin Friend says this is correcting an ECB that has been too gloomy on growth and inflation.
