Uncertain markets change direction again

Markets have reassessed the risk of inflation. On today’s podcast NAB’s Rodrigo Catril says the fear for equity markets is a Fed that might raise interest rates aggressively if it is behind the curve.

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Inflation, confidence and retail, merely temporary

Markets are optimistic despite slow retail sales, lower consumer confidence and rising inflation expectations. NAB’s Rodrigo Catril says there’s an acceptance that much of these are short term effects.

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Fewer jobless claims and hopes of a faster recovery

Equities bounced back in the US today, as attention switches beyond temporary inflation to the US getting back to work. All the signs we are seeing are that the US is reopening, say David de Garis.

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The inflation shock we were warned about

US CPI numbers came in much higher than expected, with a swift market reaction. NAB’s David de Garis says the bond market reaction has been mature, but you could argue that the equity market has overreacted. Listen to his explanation of today’s Morning Call podcast.

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Vertigo and Inflation Fears

The rise in shares this year might have given investors vertigo, says NAB’s Gavin Friend, but the main reason for a fall in equities this week has been rising evidence of mounting inflation.

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Inflation, hugs and shrinking deficits

Inflation concerns continue to grow. NAB’s Rodrigo Catril explain why this hits tech stocks so hard. Plus a look ahead to tonight’s Aussie budget, and why cable has had such a good session.

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Random Stuff

Why Telstra won’t use the F word

Hugh Bradlow, Telstra’s CTO, says that Femtocells are used by operators who want customers to pay to pick up the gaps in their networks. I wonder if he had anyone in mind.

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All Quiet until Trump Talks

A quiet day today, except for some volatility in oil prices. But NAB’s Tapas Strickland tells us to be ready for Netflix earnings and whatever President Trump says at Davos.

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Bond yields go crazy, Aussie dollar hits another multi-year high

Markets were disappointed by the RBA response to rising bond yields yesterday, says NAB’s Rodrigo Catril, creating a dramatic move up in yields. The Aussie also hit another multi-year high driven by rising commodity prices as reflation gather momentum.

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