NAB – The Morning Call · Reflation reigns for now

Reflation reigns for now

Tuesday 27th April 2021

Equities are on the rise again as risk sentiment rises following largely positive data, including the PMIs talked about in yesterday’s Morning Call. Data over the last 24 hour shas been a little more subdued, with Germany’s IFO survey pulled down by lower expectations, and the US durable goods orders softer after the cancellation of Boeing aircraft orders. Nonetheless, the mood is generally positive, says NAB’s Gavin Friend, with Europe now getting into gear on vaccination rollouts and most S&P companies I the US have beaten their earnings estimate and copper – which is tied to the global reflation trade – is now at a decade high. The stars are aligned, for now, but the situation in developing nations – and in particularly in India – are a stark reminder that the problem won’t go away until the disease is tackled everywhere.

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