Month: September 2021

China to secure fuel at all costs

There’s a lot to unpack in today’s market moves says NAB’s Gavin Friend as markets walk into a wall of worry!

Markets calmer, but US budget deadline looms

Markets are much calmer this morning. Equities have managed to climb a little, with the biggest moves in currencies and commodities. NAB’s David de Garis says there’s debate about whether we’re heading to reflation, deflation or stagflation, or all of the above. The Aussie dollar lost more ground, but the pound is taking more of a hammering as fuel shortages will almost certainly be hitting the growth outlook there. Over the Atlantic the debt ceiling is looming, but the short-term issue is passing some sort of budget today, so the government can carry on spending tomorrow.

Dangerous Powell, markets run for cover

A heated Senate Banking Committee, doubts over a second term for Jerome Powell, and a looming debt ceiling are all causing concern. But NAB’s Tapas Strickland says on the debt standoff, we’ve been here before.

Is reflation back? Commodities push even higher

Supply constraints, rising commodity prices and tightening by central banks. NAB’s Gavin Friend says all of this is driving bond yields up, steepening curves and causing a move away from tech stocks. But how long will this go on for?

Add the debt ceiling to the list of concerns

Evergrande, COVID, supply chains, hawkish central banks. Those market drivers remain, but NAB’s Ray Attrill says we can now add the US debt ceiling standoff to the list.

Inflation, the next pandemic?

COVID is causing massive supply chain disruption. We’re told its only temporary, but what if it’s not?

Optimism. But why?

Markets expect a December taper, so why are equity markets on the rise? NAB’s Gavin Friend wonders whether the Fed governors are more dovish than reflected in yesterday’s statement.

Not yet, but soon says the Fed

It’s a different atmosphere this morning says NAB’s David de Garis. Stocks were in the black as Evergrande pays out its coupons, and commodities are back on the up too. And the Fed, will taper soon, probably from December.

Waiting on Evergrande, the Fed and oil inventories

Markets await the latest chapter in the Evergrande story, but NAB’s David de Garis says China’s controlled economy means it won’t be another Lehman Brothers moment.

Evergrande Contagion Fears

A torrid day, says NAB’s Ray Attrill, as markets run for cover over fears over Contagion’s default. Her talks through the reactions and implications for the Australian market.

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