The flow through from Russian sanctions. NAB’s Rodrigo Catril says the market reaction highlights the exposure Europe has, hence strong demand for US dollars.
Oil prices rise on Ukraine attacks. Biden and Johnson have announced more sanctions, but NAB’s Gavin Friend suggests they won’t have enough impact to delay Putin’s agenda. He talks through the market impact, the influence of China, the inflation concerns and the likely response by central banks.
President Biden has announced sanctions against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. NAB’s Ray Attrill says the market response hasn’t been strong so far, but maybe the uncertainty is even to dissuade the RBNZ from contemplating a half percent rate hike today.
A reversal in sentiment. On today’s Morning Call NAB’s Tapas Strickland says the hopes of a diplomatic solution have diminished as Putin declares support for separatists in Eastern Ukraine. Tensions there are overshadowing everything else right now.
Whilst all eyes are still on Ukraine, trading is thin ahead of a long weekend says NAB’s David de Garis. But bonds have been shifting in response to the FOMC minutes, with no nugget suggesting a half percent rate rise in March.
Bond yields fall as recession fears grow after weak personal spending numbers from the US. But NAB’s Tapas Strickland says it is being met with any signs of a sustained fall in inflation. So, just how far do central banks need to go? https://t.co/FedmRFWGAZ
Forget the last election, with Boris-mania and Corbyn-phobia, the one before that Boris had a majority of 5k. All it would take is 2.5k of his supporters to switch sides to see him off. Precisely why he won't be calling an early election, whatever he tells his backbenchers!